Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.000046 0.000050 0.000054 0.000059 0.000065 0.000071 0.000078
2025-11-23 0.000040 0.000046 0.000053 0.000060 0.000070 0.000080 0.000093
2025-11-30 0.000036 0.000043 0.000050 0.000060 0.000071 0.000085 0.000104
2025-12-07 0.000032 0.000039 0.000047 0.000057 0.000070 0.000086 0.000108
2025-12-14 0.000029 0.000035 0.000044 0.000055 0.000069 0.000087 0.000112
2025-12-21 0.000026 0.000033 0.000041 0.000053 0.000068 0.000088 0.000116
2025-12-28 0.000024 0.000030 0.000039 0.000050 0.000066 0.000087 0.000118
2026-01-04 0.000022 0.000028 0.000037 0.000048 0.000064 0.000087 0.000120
2026-01-11 0.000021 0.000027 0.000036 0.000048 0.000065 0.000089 0.000126
2026-01-18 0.000020 0.000027 0.000036 0.000049 0.000068 0.000095 0.000138
2026-01-25 0.000023 0.000031 0.000042 0.000058 0.000083 0.000120 0.000180
2026-02-01 0.000021 0.000029 0.000040 0.000056 0.000082 0.000120 0.000184
2026-02-08 0.000019 0.000027 0.000038 0.000054 0.000080 0.000120 0.000189
2026-02-15 0.000019 0.000026 0.000038 0.000055 0.000083 0.000128 0.000207
2026-02-22 0.000018 0.000025 0.000037 0.000055 0.000084 0.000132 0.000220
2026-03-01 0.000016 0.000024 0.000034 0.000052 0.000081 0.000130 0.000222
2026-03-08 0.000015 0.000022 0.000033 0.000050 0.000079 0.000129 0.000224
2026-03-15 0.000014 0.000021 0.000031 0.000048 0.000078 0.000128 0.000228
2026-03-22 0.000013 0.000019 0.000029 0.000046 0.000075 0.000126 0.000229
2026-03-29 0.000012 0.000018 0.000028 0.000044 0.000073 0.000125 0.000230
2026-04-05 0.000012 0.000018 0.000027 0.000044 0.000073 0.000127 0.000240
2026-04-12 0.000012 0.000018 0.000027 0.000045 0.000076 0.000135 0.000263
2026-04-19 0.000013 0.000020 0.000032 0.000053 0.000094 0.000173 0.000352